A new report from IDC is forecasting that by 2016 Windows Phone is to overtake Apple’s iOS and so to become the second operating system running smartphones behind Android, that will keep its leadership.
The iPhone growth will slowly moderate over the next 5 years, because the device will flood the marketplace.
During the period, Apple will have to rely on their customers to replace the older iPhones and still search for new buyers to emerge its presence on the market if iOS is to gain share.
The company predicts that Windows Phone will increase its market share during the period despite the slow start.
Nokia is seen strong emerging markets.
The forecast is that Apple’s shares in the market will drop to 19% in 2012, while the Windows Phone share will jump up to 19.2% in 2016.
Android on the other hand will hold its position, even though their share will decrease from 61% to 52.9% in 2016.
Samsung-made Android devices will dominate the market, although there are going to be many Android phone from HTC, Motorola and LG.
686 million smartphones will ship in 2012 – 39% increase compared to 2011.